- What: MLB Regular Season Game
- When: June 23, 2025
- Who: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
- Time: 4:10 p.m. PST
- Where: Citi Field (Flushing, New York)
The Atlanta Braves (35-41) are set to face off against the New York Mets (46-31) on Monday, kicking off a four-game series at Citi Field in Flushing, New York, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. PST.
Atlanta leads the season series 3-0.
As the Braves continue their road trip, they’re coming off a series in which they lost two of three games to the Miami Marlins over the weekend. They’ve struggled on the road lately, going 4-10 in their last 14 away games.
The Mets, who suffered three straight losses to the Braves last week, have only managed one win since June 13, following a strong stretch where they went 15-3 from May 24 to June 12.
Since last July 27, New York has struggled against Atlanta, posting a record of 1-7 and being outscored 45-16 in those encounters.
Spencer Schwellenbach will take the mound for the Braves, while Paul Blackburn will get the start for the Mets.
Schwellenbach (5-4, 3.26 ERA) is set to make his 16th start of the season. He carries a solid 1.01 WHIP, with 1.5 walks per nine innings and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings across 96 2/3 innings.
In his last outing, he received a no-decision, pitching seven innings while allowing four earned runs and striking out eight in a 5-4 victory over the Mets. In his career against New York, he holds a 2-0 record with a 1.93 ERA, having allowed just 6 earned runs in 28 innings.
On the other hand, Blackburn (0-1, 6.92 ERA) will be making his third start. He has a higher WHIP at 1.69 and averages 2.8 walks and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings over 13 innings pitched in his four appearances.
His latest outing resulted in a loss after he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs in a 5-0 defeat against the Braves. Against Atlanta throughout his career, Blackburn has a 0-1 record with a 2.63 ERA over 13 2/3 innings.
The Braves have dominated the Mets in recent matchups, winning 7 out of 8 since last July, with six of those victories coming by three runs or more. The Mets, sitting at 1-8 since June 13, have been outscored 62-28 during this stretch.
With Schwellenbach performing well against the current Mets lineup—batters holding a combined .551 OPS against him—Atlanta’s run-scoring and run-prevention metrics indicate they have room to improve, averaging 4.20 runs per game and allowing 3.87 runs per game.
Given both teams’ scoring trends and expectations, I recommend taking the Braves on the run line -1.5 (+125).
Best Bet: Braves -1.5 Runs at +125 odds
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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.
