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Best Picks for Sparks vs. Lynx

WNBA: Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx
© Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images
  • What: WNBA Regular Season Game
  • When: June 21, 2025
  • Who:   Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx
  • Time:  5:00 p.m. PST
  • Where: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)

The Los Angeles Sparks (4-9) will face off against the Minnesota Lynx (11-1) in the WNBA tonight, with tipoff scheduled for 5:00 p.m. PST at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

The Lynx enter the game as 8.5-point favorites on the spread, and the over/under is set at 162.5. The Lynx are heavily favored to win at -400, while the Sparks are listed at +310 to secure an upset victory.

The Minnesota Lynx are strong title contenders, boasting an impressive 11-1 record and remaining unbeaten at home. They rank among the top in the league for scoring, averaging 85.1 points per game, and lead in assists.

Their efficiency is reflected in high field goal and three-point percentages. Defensively, the Lynx excel, allowing only 74.8 points per game, though their rebounding isn’t elite.

In contrast, the Los Angeles Sparks struggle with a 4-9 record and have a weak defensive performance, allowing 86.9 points per game, despite their decent scoring capabilities.

Kelsey Plum leads the team in scoring but has an inefficient shooting percentage. The Sparks have other players contributing, but their defense needs to improve for them to find success.

If Napheesa Collier is available to play, I am leaning toward the over in this matchup between the Lynx and the Sparks.

This season, the Lynx have established themselves as the top-scoring defense, but they’ve managed to exceed 163.5 points in both of their previous encounters with the Sparks.

In their most recent matchup, they combined for an impressive 179 points, with Minnesota scoring 101.

On the other hand, the Sparks rank 11th in the WNBA for scoring defense, allowing 86.9 points per game this season. They fit the profile of an over team perfectly, standing at 11th in defensive rating, 7th in offensive rating, and 3rd in pace.

The over has hit in 8 of the Sparks’ 13 games, and with Kelsey Plum returning to the lineup, we could see another high-scoring affair on Saturday night.

While the Lynx are just 5-7 on the over this season, they haven’t struggled to score against Los Angeles.

Although the total has risen from 162.5 last night, the OVER is the smart play, considering the Lynx rank 2nd in offensive rating and 2nd in effective field goal percentage this season.

Best Bet: Over 162.5 Points at -115 odds

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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