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Best Picks for Phillies vs. Braves

MLB: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
© Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • What: MLB Regular Season Game
  • When: June 28, 2025
  • Who:   Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Time:  4:15 p.m. PST
  • Where: Truist Park (Atlanta, GA)

The Philadelphia Phillies (48-34) face off against the Atlanta Braves (37-44) for the second game of their three-game series on Saturday night. The matchup is set to begin at 4:15 p.m. PST at Truist Park.

The Phillies currently have the upper hand in the season series, leading 4-3. On Friday, Philadelphia ended a three-game losing streak with an impressive 13-0 victory over Atlanta, managing to win as a +161 underdog.

Key performances included 1B Otto Kemp and RF Nick Castellanos, who drove in three runs, while SS Trea Turner hit two home runs.

On the other side, the Braves are struggling, having lost three consecutive games. Despite recording nine hits on Friday, Atlanta could not score, finding themselves in a deep 11-0 hole by the end of the third inning.

Pitching Matchup

The projected starting pitchers for the Phillies vs. Braves matchup are left-hander Jesus Luzardo and right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach.

Luzardo, sporting a 7-3 record and a 4.08 ERA, makes his 17th start with a 1.37 WHIP and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

In his last outing, he achieved a win with six and two-thirds innings pitched, not allowing any earned runs against the Mets. He has a career 3-3 record and a 3.89 ERA against the Braves.

Meanwhile, Schwellenbach, with a 6-4 record and a 3.21 ERA, makes his 17th start, featuring a 0.99 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

He won his last game against the Mets, pitching seven innings with two earned runs. He is 2-0 with a 2.22 ERA against the Phillies.

The Phillies have gone Under in 6 of their last nine games, with four being in their most recent 5.

They’ve scored one run or fewer in 3 out of their last four games. On the pitching side, Philadelphia has allowed two runs or fewer in 9 of their last 10 games, including five straight.

Meanwhile, the Braves are 6-3-1 on the Under over their last 10 games.

They have scored three runs or fewer in 6 of their last 8, and defensively, they’ve allowed four runs or fewer in 6 of their last 10 outings.

Best Bet: Under 7.5 Runs at -102 odds

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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