- What: MLB Regular Season Game
- When: June 28, 2025
- Who: Athletics vs. New York Yankees
- Time: 10:05 a.m. PST
- Where: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
The New York Yankees will play the Athletics at Yankee Stadium this afternoon. The first pitch is set for 10:05 p.m. PST.
JP Sears is having a challenging season, standing at 5-7 with a 5.44 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP after 16 games.
His performance metrics indicate that these struggles are likely to persist, as he ranks in the league’s bottom tier for expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), average exit velocity, and strikeout rate.
Sears has particularly struggled against the Yankees, with a 0-4 record in six games, a 5.74 ERA, and a 1.47 WHIP.
Following Sears is a bullpen that has faced significant difficulties this season.
The Athletics’ relief pitchers are last in ERA, 27th in fielding independent pitching (FIP), 28th in expected FIP (xFIP), and 27th in wins above replacement (WAR).
In contrast, New York has a clear edge in pitching. The Yankees’ bullpen outperforms the Athletics in all four of those categories.
They also have the advantage on the starting mound, with right-hander Clarke Schmidt, who has a record of 4-3, a 2.84 ERA, and a 1.06 WHIP over 12 games.
His underlying analytics are even more impressive, ranking in the 85th percentile or higher for xERA, xBA, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.
At the plate, New York clearly leads as well. The Yankees have superior statistics this season, scoring more runs per game, achieving more hits per game, and having better slugging percentages and OPS.
Overall, the Athletics have no advantages in this matchup. The Yankees feature a stronger starting pitcher, bullpen, and lineup.
Additionally, playing at Yankee Stadium gives New York an extra edge. They hold a home record of 25-16, compared to the Athletics’ 18-24 on the road.
That being said, the Yankees are laying 2.5 runs and I can’t bet on them to win by three runs or more. Take the A’s to cover the run line.
Best Bet: Athletics +2.5 runs at -118 odds
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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.
