- What: NBA Western Conference Playoffs First Round Game 7
- When: May 3, 2025
- Who: LA Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Time: 4:30 p.m. PST
- Where: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)
The LA Clippers will face the Denver Nuggets in a crucial Game 7 of their first-round series on Saturday. Tip-off will be at 4:30 p.m. PST at Ball Arena.
With their season on the line, the Clippers secured a 111-105 victory over the Nuggets in Game 6 on Thursday. They successfully covered the 6-point spread and sent the over (212.5) to a win.
Key contributions came from guard James Harden, who scored 28 points, forward Kawhi Leonard, who scored 27 points and guard Norman Powell, who added 24 points, making up 79 of the team’s total score.
The Clippers also excelled at the free-throw line, hitting 13 compared to Denver’s 6.
The Nuggets struggled in the third quarter of Game 6, falling behind 32-22. Forward Michael Porter Jr. had a tough night, finishing with only 5 points on 2-of-5 shooting and posting the worst plus-minus of -24 for the game.
It’s often advisable to consider the under for Game 7 matchups, as these games typically lean towards defense rather than offense.
After six games, teams have a pretty good grasp of each other’s strategies, making high-scoring games less common. The last 23 Game 7s averaged around 198 total points, significantly lower than the current line.
Both teams struggle with consistency in 3-point shooting under pressure, so it’s hard to rely on role players to deliver in such a high-stakes environment. So, I’m taking the under.
As much as I’d like to take a side in this game 7, targeting the total is the smarter play. The Clippers and Nuggets will both struggle to get to 100 points in this one.
Best Bet: Under 207.5 Points at -110 odds
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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.
