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BETS: Best Picks for Kings vs Warriors

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  • What: NBA Regular Season Game
  • When: March 13, 2025
  • Who:   Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
  • Time:  7:00 p.m. PST
  • Where: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)

The Sacramento Kings (33-31) will take on the Golden State Warriors (37-28) in the NBA tonight. The game will tip off at 10 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. and will be broadcast live on TNT.

The Warriors are favored by 7.5 points against the Kings (Warriors -7.5), with the over/under for the total points listed at 233.5. Golden State is a -285 favorite for an outright win, while Sacramento has odds of +225 for an upset.

Sacramento

The Sacramento Kings have struggled lately, losing three of their last four games.

They dropped a close one to the Denver Nuggets, followed by a win against the San Antonio Spurs, but then fell to the LA Clippers in overtime and lost to the New York Knicks at home.

In their recent match against the Knicks, Sacramento allowed 22 three-pointers while shooting just 41.9% from the field, with Malik Monk leading the team with 21 points.

The Kings hold the No. 9 seed in the Western Conference and have been without Domantas Sabonis (hamstring) for the past five games. His availability for Thursday’s game against the Warriors is uncertain, as is Monk’s status.

Golden State

The Golden State Warriors have won 10 of their last 11 games and recently extended their winning streak to five by beating the Portland Trail Blazers 130-120, although they fell short of covering the 11.5-point spread.

The Warriors shot 52.9% from the field with 35 assists against 18 turnovers. Gary Payton II led the team with 26 points, while Stephen Curry added 24.

Golden State is sixth in the Western Conference, just ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski missed the game against the Blazers and are questionable for Thursday’s matchup with the Kings.

Kings-Warriors Best Bet

The total has gone over 17 times and under 15 times when the Warriors have competed at home. In their last 10 games, the over has hit 6 times and under 4 times.

For the Kings, the over stands at 17-16 in their away games and is 10-7 since February 1st. Golden State is the 12th fastest team in the NBA, with Sacramento not far behind at 19th.

Additionally, the Kings have the league’s weakest defense against 3-point shots, which the Warriors are likely to exploit.

I will take Over 233.5 points at -115 as the best bet in this one.

Best Bet: Over 233.5 Points at -115 odds 

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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