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BETS: Best Picks for Broncos vs. Raiders

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  • What: NFL Football Regular Season Game
  • When: November 24, 2024
  • Who:  Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
  • Time:  1:05 p.m. PST
  • Where: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas, NV)

As we gear up for this AFC West showdown, it’s hard to ignore the glaring differences between the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Broncos, at 6-5, are riding high after a commanding 38-6 victory over the Atlanta Falcons. Meanwhile, the Raiders are mired in a six-game losing streak and struggling to find any semblance of offensive rhythm.

Let’s break down why the Raiders could surprise and have a chance to cover the 5.5-point spread this Sunday.

Denver Broncos

First off, let’s talk about the Broncos’ defense. They’ve been a force to be reckoned with, allowing 23 points or fewer in six of their last seven games.

This isn’t just a fluke; it’s a trend. With a defensive unit that ranks among the best in the league, the Broncos are well-equipped to stifle a Raiders offense that has been downright anemic.

Now, let’s pivot to the Broncos’ offense, led by rookie quarterback Bo Nix. After a shaky start to the season, Nix has found his groove, throwing for over 200 yards in four straight games and racking up nine touchdowns against just one interception in his last four outings.

His performance against Atlanta was a career highlight, showcasing his ability to stretch the field and make plays. With Nix’s confidence growing and the Broncos’ offensive line providing solid protection, expect him to exploit a Raiders secondary that has struggled to contain opposing receivers.

The matchup also favors the Broncos in terms of playmakers. They have a more balanced attack, with multiple weapons at Nix’s disposal. This versatility will be crucial in keeping the Raiders’ defense on their heels.

Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas defense has been a sieve, allowing an average of 202.7 passing yards per game, which puts them at 11th in the rankings. Meanwhile, the Raiders rank 15th in rushing defense, giving up 125.1 yards per game on the ground.

The Raiders have been one of the worst defenses in the league. They allow 28.5 points per game, which ranks them 29th in the league.

Las Vegas currently sits dead last in rushing yards per game, averaging a mere 75.2 yards. That’s not going to cut it against a Denver defense that thrives on shutting down the run and pressuring the quarterback.

The Raiders have cycled through three different quarterbacks this season, and none have been able to consistently produce. Gardner Minshew, who is back at the helm, has shown flashes but has also thrown more interceptions (9) than touchdowns (8) this year.

While the Raiders have tight end Brock Bowers, who has emerged as a legitimate threat, the rest of their offense lacks firepower. After trading away wideout Davante Adams, the Raiders have struggled to find consistent production, and Bowers can’t do it all alone.

Broncos-Raiders Best Bet

Despite all the evidence pointing towards a Broncos victory, there’s a nagging feeling that the Raiders might find a way to keep it close, especially if they score a late touchdown in garbage time.

The Broncos have a tendency to play down to their competition, and with the Raiders desperate for a win, they might muster just enough to cover the spread.

While the Broncos are the better team across the board, the potential for a late score from the Raiders gives me hesitation on betting the Broncos.

The Raiders to cover the 5.5-point spread at -110 odds is the best bet in this one.

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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