- What: NFL Wild Card Playoff Game
- When: January 12, 2025
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 10:00 a.m. PST
- Where: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
As the Denver Broncos prepare to face the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card Round, the narrative surrounding this matchup is heavily biased in favor of the Bills.
With Josh Allen leading the charge and a season filled with impressive performances, it’s easy to see why the Bills are favored by 9 points.
However, let’s pump the brakes on the hype train for a second and take a closer look at why the Broncos could not only keep this game close but also cover the spread.
Denver
First, let’s discuss the Broncos’ defense. This unit has been nothing short of spectacular this season, leading the NFL with 63 sacks. They’ve shown they can disrupt opposing quarterbacks and create chaos in the backfield.
While the Bills have a potent offense, they’ve also had their share of struggles, particularly early in the season.
Allen has had games where he’s been held to under 60% completion, and the Broncos’ secondary is more than capable of limiting his explosive plays.
It's a PLAYOFF GAMEDAY in Buffalo!
RT if you're ready for #DENvsBUF. pic.twitter.com/FbQEE1vSEf
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) January 12, 2025
With cornerback Patrick Surtain II and a defensive line that can pressure Allen, the Broncos have the tools to keep this game competitive.
Now, let’s not forget about Sean Payton. The Broncos’ head coach has a wealth of playoff experience. His ability to strategize in high-pressure situations is well-documented.
Payton is 4-1 against the spread in the playoffs as an underdog. He knows how to get the best out of his players, and with rookie quarterback Bo Nix under center, Payton’s guidance will be crucial.
Nix has had a solid rookie season, throwing for 3,775 yards and 29 touchdowns. He’ll need to be smart with the ball against a Bills defense that can capitalize on mistakes.
Buffalo
The Bills may have the edge in talent, but 9 points is a hefty spread for a playoff game, especially one that feels like it could come down to a field goal.
The Broncos have proven they can hang with tough opponents like their recent performance against the Kansas City Chiefs. They won 38-0, showing they can deliver when it matters most.
IT'S PLAYOFF GAME DAY!!! @NorthtownAuto | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/gnd9PXRuNS
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 12, 2025
This isn’t a team that’s just happy to be in the playoffs; they’re looking to make a statement.
Additionally, the weather in Buffalo is expected to be cold, with temperatures around 30 degrees at kickoff.
While both teams are accustomed to playing in chilly conditions, cold weather can impact the passing game.
If the Broncos can establish a run game and control the clock, they can keep Allen and the Bills’ offense off the field, which is a recipe for success.
Broncos-Bills Best Bet
While the Bills are undoubtedly a formidable opponent, the Broncos have the defensive prowess and coaching experience to keep this game within reach.
The 9-point spread feels excessive, and with the odds at -110 for the Broncos to cover, it’s a bet worth considering.
Expect a hard-fought battle that could very well come down to the wire.
Dice City Sports — where we provide premium, exclusive, up-to-date news and analysis surrounding the Las Vegas sports scene. Follow along on social media, and check back for new articles daily!
Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.
