- What: NBA Finals Game 4
- When: Friday, June 14
- Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
It’s do-or-die time for the Dallas Mavericks, who aim to extend their season by forcing a Game 5 on their home floor. Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics are determined to close out the series with a sweep and secure their 18th championship in franchise history.
We’re providing our top player prop picks for the Celtics vs. Mavericks based on the best NBA odds for today’s Game 4 matchup.
Best Bet: Dereck Lively Rebounds Prop
Now, let’s dive into the first market-the rebounds prop for Dereck Lively. Depending on the sportsbook you choose, most have his rebound total set at between 7.5 to 8.5 rebounds. But is this number too low? Let’s find out.
Let’s see why this number is too low and why it is a mistake the oddsmakers have made that we can take advantage of.
And he’s just getting started ???? @DereckLively is the youngest player in NBA Finals history to record a double-double. #OneForDallas // #MFFL pic.twitter.com/vCh3osizkx
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) June 14, 2024
Dereck Lively Game 3 Performance
The takeaway from game 3 was that the Celtics were a much smaller team without Kristaps Porzingis helping protect the rim. Without Porzingis in the lineup, the Mavericks could feast on the boards—specifically, Lively, who led the Mavs with 13 rebounds.
Dereck Lively II is the youngest player in NBA Finals HISTORY to record a double-double. pic.twitter.com/yrftkhyU3O
— MavsMuse (@MavsMuse) June 14, 2024
Porzingis will still not play, so I imagine the Mavs will swarm the boards again. This total of 7.5 to 8.5 rebounds needs to be higher.
“This is the first NBA Finals for a lot of us… We got the whole world looking at us, the whole world talking bad about us.”
Dereck Lively II on the Mavs losing the first three games of the Finals ????️
(via @danield1214) pic.twitter.com/gWenAzwIZ6
— ClutchPoints (@ClutchPoints) June 13, 2024
Lively has the energy and size needed to take advantage of the small Celtics front court.
Dereck Lively Over 7.5 Rebounds
Play Lively over 7.5 rebounds prop up to 8.5 rebounds and sprinkle some on double-digit rebounds at plus money.
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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.