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Best Picks for New York Yankees vs. Blue Jays

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  • What: MLB Regular Season Game
  • When: July 21, 2025
  • Who:   New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Time:  4:07 p.m. PST
  • Where: Rogers Centre (Toronto, ON)

The New York Yankees (55-44) head to Rogers Centre to face the Toronto Blue Jays (58-41) on Monday, opening a three-game AL East series with first pitch set for 4:07 p.m. PST. Toronto leads the season series 5-2.

The Yankees are coming off a weekend series win over the Atlanta Braves, taking two of three, though they were just 1-7 on the road in their previous eight games—a stretch that included a four-game sweep by the Blue Jays in Toronto from June 30 to July 3.

Meanwhile, the division-leading Blue Jays, who hold a three-game edge over New York, started their second half by sweeping the San Francisco Giants at home, extending their home winning streak to nine games.

Pitching Matchup

Carlos Rodon (10-6, 3.08 ERA) will make his 21st start of the season for the Yankees, boasting a 1.00 WHIP, 3.1 walks per nine, and 10.2 strikeouts per nine over 119 2/3 innings.

In his last outing, he tossed eight scoreless innings with eight strikeouts in an 11-0 win over the Cubs on July 11. Against Toronto in his career, Rodon is 2-2 with a 4.85 ERA across eight starts, and he also threw a scoreless inning in Tuesday’s All-Star Game.

For the Blue Jays, Kevin Gausman (6-7, 4.19 ERA) gets the nod for his 20th start, carrying a 1.16 WHIP, 2.8 walks per nine, and 8.5 strikeouts per nine through 109 2/3 innings.

Gausman is coming off a five-inning outing in which he allowed three earned runs in a loss to the Athletics and owns a 10-10 record with a 3.87 ERA in 37 career appearances (31 starts) against the Yankees.

The Over has hit in each of the last 10 Yankees-Blue Jays matchups. With both teams boasting top-tier offenses and questions surrounding the Yankees’ pitching on Monday, this trend looks set to continue.

Best Bet: Over 8.5 Runs at -110 odds

July Record: 15-24-2  -8.95 units

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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