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Best Picks for Guardians vs. Astros

MLB: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
© Ken Blaze-Imagn Images
  • What: MLB Regular Season Game
  • When: July 7, 2025
  • Who:   Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros
  • Time:  5:10 p.m. PST
  • Where: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

The Cleveland Guardians (40-48) take on the Houston Astros (55-35) in a 3-game series starting Monday at Daikin Park in Houston, with the first pitch at 5:10 p.m. PST.

The Astros lead the season series 2-1. The Guardians were swept by the Detroit Tigers over the weekend, extending their losing streak to 10 games. They scored two runs or fewer in 8 of those matches, including five shutouts.

Steven Kwan shone on Sunday despite these struggles, going 3-for-4 with a double and 2 RBIs.

In contrast, the Astros have been red hot, sweeping the LA Dodgers with a 29-6 matchup score over the weekend.

The Over has cashed in 3 of their last four games. In Sunday’s 5-1 win, Jose Altuve contributed 2 RBIs with a home run, alongside solo shots from Yainer Diaz and Christian Walker.

Pitching Matchup

Tanner Bibee (4-9, 4.20 ERA) is making his 18th start, having pitched 98 2/3 innings with a 1.24 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9, and 7.9 K/9. In his last outing, he allowed five earned runs in 4 innings during a 5-4 loss to the Chicago Cubs.

For the 2025 season, he has a 3-6 record on the road with a 5.40 ERA. Earlier this season, he faced the Astros, earning a no-decision with two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in a 4-2 win.

Colton Gordon (3-1, 4.37 ERA) is making his 10th start and has a 1.41 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9, and 8.1 K/9 over 45 1/3 innings.

His last start was a no-decision, where he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in a 6-5 win against the Rockies. At home this season, he is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA and defeated the Guardians with one earned run allowed in 5 innings on June 6.

The smart bet is on the Astros to cover the -1.5 run line. Houston recently overwhelmed the defending champion Dodgers on their home turf.

Although there’s a chance they could underestimate a weaker opponent or lack motivation against a losing team, the Astros are expected to easily handle the struggling Guardians, who have struggled to find timely hitting when it counts.

Best Bet: Astros -1.5 runs at +155 odds

July Record: 7-7-1  +0.15 units

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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