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Best Picks for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

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  • What: MLB Regular Season Game
  • When:  June 30, 2025
  • Who:   New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Time:  4:07 p.m. PST
  • Where: Rogers Centre (Toronto, ON)

The New York Yankees (48-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (45-38) begin a four-game series on Monday at 4:07 p.m. PST at Rogers Centre. The Yankees lead the season series 2-1.

The Yankees just won 2 of 3 against the Athletics, finishing with a 12-5 victory on Sunday, where Aaron Judge hit two home runs, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. drove in four runs.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays took 2 of 3 from the Red Sox, winning the final game 5-3 as +100 underdogs, with the total landing under (9.5).

Addison Barger and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit back-to-back homers in the first inning, ending a 4-2 road trip for Toronto.

Pitching Matchup

Carlos Rodón faces Max Scherzer in an exciting pitchers duel.

Rodón (9-5, 2.92 ERA) is making his 18th start, boasting a 0.97 WHIP and 10.5 K/9 over 101 2/3 innings. In his last outing, he went six innings with no earned runs but earned a no-decision in a 5-4 loss to the Reds.

This season on the road, he’s 4-2 with a 2.57 ERA across eight starts, though he’s struggled against the Blue Jays, holding a 1-2 record and 8.79 ERA in 3 starts.

Scherzer (0-0, 5.63 ERA) is making his third start, allowing nine hits and three walks in 8 innings. He also received a no-decision in his last outing after giving up three earned runs over five innings against the Guardians.

In 2025, at home, he had no decision on his only start. Career-wise, he’s 4-5 with a 4.25 ERA against the Yankees in 12 regular-season starts, with his last appearance in 2023.

On paper, the Yankees have the advantage heading into Monday’s game, boasting a stronger roster and a superior starting pitcher. However, recent performances indicate a more balanced competition.

Both teams have secured wins in 3 of their last four games, while New York has struggled slightly with a 1-3 record in Rodón’s last four starts.

On the other hand, Toronto has not fared well with Scherzer on the mound this season, holding an 0-2 record.

Given the favorable odds and the Blue Jays returning home for the Canada Day weekend, the better value may lie with the home team.

Best Bet: Blue Jays Money Line at +120 odds

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Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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