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BETS: Best Picks for Arizona State vs. Texas

© Michael Chow/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
  • What: CFP Quarterfinal Game
  • When: January 1, 2025
  • Who: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Longhorns
  • Time:  10:00 a.m. PST
  • Where: Peach Bowl (Atlanta, GA)

The Arizona State Sun Devils have been the season’s surprise team. As they gear up to face the Texas Longhorns in the Peach Bowl, there’s a compelling case to be made for them to cover the 12.5-point spread.

Let’s break down why ASU is not just a team to watch but a team that can keep this game close and potentially pull off an upset.

Arizona State

First off, Arizona State has shown a knack for keeping games tight all season long. They’ve been in the trenches, battling it out in close contests, and their record reflects that.

The Sun Devils are 5-0 in games decided by seven points or less, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. This clutch gene is crucial when facing a powerhouse like Texas, who, despite their talent, has had moments of vulnerability.

Defensively, ASU has the tools to limit Texas’s high-octane offense. The Longhorns have a dynamic attack led by quarterback Quinn Ewers, but they’ve also been known to stall in the red zone.

Arizona State’s defense, which ranks fourth in the Big 12, has the potential to step up and force Texas into field goal attempts instead of touchdowns. If they can tighten up in the red zone, it could be a game-changer.

The Sun Devils have allowed an average of just 20 points per game this season, and if they can keep Texas under that threshold, they’ll be in a great position to cover the spread.

Let’s not forget about the offensive side of the ball. Arizona State’s quarterback, Sam Leavitt, has been a revelation this season, throwing for 2,663 yards and 24 touchdowns with only five interceptions.

He’s shown he can handle the pressure, and with running back Cam Skattebo leading the charge on the ground, the Sun Devils have a balanced attack that can exploit any weaknesses in Texas’s defense.

Skattebo, who has rushed for 1,568 yards and 19 touchdowns, is a game-wrecker. If he can find success early, it will open up the passing game for Leavitt and keep the Longhorns on their toes.

Texas

Moreover, Texas has had its share of injury woes, particularly on the offensive line.

With key players like right tackle Cam Williams and center Jake Majors dealing with injuries, the Longhorns’ ability to protect Ewers and establish the run could be compromised.

If Arizona State can apply pressure and disrupt Texas’s rhythm, it could lead to mistakes and missed opportunities for the Longhorns.

Betting odds at BetMGM show Arizona State at +12.5 points at -110, which is a solid line considering their track record of keeping games close.

The Sun Devils have proven they can hang with the best, and with their recent form, they’re more than capable of covering that spread.

Sun Devils-Longhorns Best Bet

While Texas is undoubtedly a formidable opponent, Arizona State’s ability to keep games tight, their defensive prowess, and the offensive firepower of Leavitt and Skattebo make them a strong candidate to cover the spread.

As the Peach Bowl approaches, don’t sleep on the Sun Devils; they’re ready to make a statement.

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Dice City Sports — where we provide premium, exclusive, up-to-date news and analysis surrounding the Las Vegas sports scene. Follow along on social media, and check back for new articles daily!

Tony Reyes is a sports betting analyst and reporter for Dice City Sports. You can follow him on X @TonyParlay.

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